Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 12.569537 14.145245 15.927240 18.109720 20.735439 23.824933 27.784024
2025-05-18 10.368862 12.312498 14.689418 17.868257 22.101478 27.688664 35.882791
2025-05-25 9.088368 11.169174 13.847118 17.649370 23.092613 30.924633 43.726205
2025-06-01 8.228876 10.386263 13.276690 17.584834 24.138893 34.311089 52.697329
2025-06-08 7.442189 9.583328 12.540943 17.118853 24.430453 36.514175 60.358786
2025-06-15 6.930062 9.091528 12.164045 17.094904 25.355488 39.906201 71.430446
2025-06-22 6.311876 8.385794 11.392240 16.339931 24.914768 40.739460 77.557909
2025-06-29 5.765372 7.737537 10.641957 15.520699 24.216952 40.911425 82.259791
2025-07-06 5.355679 7.259527 10.107447 14.990310 23.945573 41.854219 89.283243
2025-07-13 5.467102 7.567463 10.815281 16.635976 28.006385 52.975518 130.802417
2025-07-20 5.335365 7.488023 10.891135 17.176680 30.008809 60.176466 167.051322
2025-07-27 5.006270 7.074999 10.382050 16.584689 29.540503 61.125420 181.354254
2025-08-03 4.866037 6.965111 10.390569 17.002783 31.429235 69.191507 236.012619
2025-08-10 4.629442 6.684090 10.084592 16.780569 31.845592 73.373100 279.393935
2025-08-17 4.418697 6.431521 9.807022 16.580123 32.275268 77.804760 332.902515
2025-08-24 4.247730 6.234132 9.610952 16.520992 33.041747 83.700916 410.710787
2025-08-31 4.038286 5.959883 9.256694 16.093830 32.796900 86.065917 468.668809
2025-09-07 3.901295 5.801150 9.101448 16.071865 33.616332 92.768119 592.326888
2025-09-14 3.685026 5.495573 8.655995 15.378902 32.501593 91.543146 626.031117
2025-09-21 3.474765 5.191943 8.198942 14.625736 31.123030 88.870061 637.285971
2025-09-28 3.311687 4.963914 7.872413 14.137423 30.430501 88.922943 692.635635
2025-10-05 3.405104 5.187791 8.412740 15.650758 35.840526 119.356318 1605.801393
2025-10-12 3.369392 5.180017 8.505868 16.146861 38.352722 138.648375 2886.342306